Unbeaten Ingwe puts their long streak on the line against the unpredictable Slum Boys in a high-stakes Nyayo stadium clash.
AFC Leopards will be aiming to maintain their unblemished SportPesa League 25/26 run when they host Mathare United on Sunday, November 2, at the Nyayo National Stadium.
The match, kicking off at 3pm EAT, sees an in-form Ingwe looking to extend a 13-match unbeaten streak against a Slum Boys side desperate to find consistency.
This clash is a classic encounter between a team with title aspirations and a resilient mid-table side capable of an upset, making it a key fixture for punters.
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AFC Leopards Vs Mathare United Match Preview
The hosts are riding a wave of momentum, finally turning three consecutive early-season draws into back-to-back victories against KCB and Shabana.
That run has propelled Fred Ambani’s side to fifth in the table with nine points, and a win here could see them climb as high as third. Their 1-0 win over Shabana marked Ambani's 30th game in charge, and the team's morale is high as they chase a league title that has eluded them for over two decades.
For Mathare United, the story is one of inconsistency. John Kamau’s charges sit 10th with seven points from their opening six matches (two wins, one draw, three losses) in their second season back in the top flight.
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The Slum Boys are coming off a discouraging 2-0 defeat to Gor Mahia and will be desperate to avoid back-to-back losses, but upsetting an unbeaten Ingwe at Nyayo is a formidable task.
Team Recent Form
AFC Leopards' recent league form has been solid, showing a progression from three straight draws to two consecutive wins (DDDWW).
Mathare United, meanwhile, are coming off a loss (L) and have an overall record this season of two wins, one draw, and three losses, highlighting their struggle for consistency.
Key Stats
AFC Leopards are currently on a formidable 13-match unbeaten streak in the league, a run of form that stretches all the way back to their last loss in April.
Furthermore, Ingwe completely dominated this specific fixture last season, winning both legs with convincing 4-0 and 3-1 scorelines.
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Finally, Mathare United’s matches have been notably low-scoring this season, with their highest-scoring games both being 2-1 losses.
AFC Leopards 2-0 Mathare United. This prediction is based on the clear divergence in form. AFC Leopards have found their winning groove and possess the confidence of a 13-match unbeaten run. Conversely,
Mathare United are struggling for goals and consistency, as evidenced by their recent 2-0 shutout loss to Gor Mahia. While Ingwe have only managed one clean sheet this season, Mathare's low-scoring trend and poor head-to-head record suggest they will struggle to make an impact.
AFC Leopards Vs Mathare United H2H
The head-to-head record is brief but extremely one-sided since Mathare's promotion back to the top flight.
This will be only the third meeting between the two sides, with AFC Leopards having won both encounters during the 2024/25 campaign.
Ingwe were utterly dominant in those matches, scoring an aggregate of 7-1 across the two fixtures, which included a comprehensive 4-0 victory in the first-leg meeting last season.
Pre Game Odds
In the betting markets, AFC Leopards are expected to be the clear favorites, a status justified by their unbeaten run, home advantage, and dominant H2H record.
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A draw will likely offer medium odds and is a plausible result, especially considering Ingwe began the season with three consecutive draws.
Mathare United will be the significant underdog, a position that reflects their inconsistent form and their most recent loss.
AFC Leopards vs Mathare United Team News
Fred Ambani has a healthy squad and a positive selection headache. He must decide whether to retain the same starting lineup that secured the 1-0 win over Shabana or rotate his squad.
Impactful substitutes like Victor Omune and Julius Masaba are pushing hard for a starting role after impressing from the bench in recent weeks.
Mathare United, on their side, have not reported any new injuries or suspensions.
Coach John Kamau is likely to make changes after the loss to Gor Mahia, with Musa Masika and Paul Kinyanjui both in contention to start.
Kamau will rely on Junior Nyawir and Ian Omondi to anchor the defense, with the in-form Brian Ouru tasked with running the midfield.
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AFC Leopards Vs Mathare United betting tips
Based on the data and current form, our expert betting tips favor the hosts. The primary recommendation is an AFC Leopards win, given their unbeaten streak and H2H dominance.
Secondly, we predict a low-scoring affair, backing Under 2.5 goals, as Mathare's games have been tight and Leopards are building defensive confidence.